HONG KONG (CNNMoney) -- World stock markets rallied and the dollar eased against major currencies Wednesday as President Obama's victory reduced the risk of a move to tighten U.S. monetary policy.
After an initial decline, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong ended up 0.3%, while the Nikkei in Tokyo and the Shanghai Composite dropped by a fraction of a percent.
Major European markets posted early gains of about 0.5% each, while the FTSE index of leading British shares traded 0.2% firmer. Exchanges in the U.S. will open later in the day, with futures indicating a positive direction for stocks.
In currency markets, the U.S. dollar weakened against the euro, the British pound and the Japanese yen.
Analysts said Obama's win was likely to ensure continuity in monetary policy in the near term, after his challenger Mitt Romney expressed unease over the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing.
"Reduced concerns over near-term risks to the Fed's QE policy may raise expectations of lower U.S. rates for longer, and support [Asian currencies] against the U.S. dollar," Nomura strategists said in a note.
Some results were still too close to call, but CNN projections pointed to the status quo being largely maintained in much of American government. President Obama captured a second term in the White House, Republicans retained control of the House of Representatives and Democrats held their majority in the Senate.
With the balance of power largely unchanged, market reaction was likely to be muted, according to analysts at UBS.
"We believe that a status quo scenario is largely baked into stock prices," the analysts wrote in a note to clients.
Wall Street was thought to favor Mitt Romney, the Republican challenger with close ties to the private equity and business communities, and gains may be tempered as investors turn their attention to the so-called fiscal cliff.
Inaction would bring a sharp rise in taxes and deep cuts in federal spending set to take effect in January. Economists, including several members of the Federal Reserve, agree the economy is likely to fall into a new recession if this happens.
Some analysts, including those at UBS, predict the issues will be difficult to solve -- especially before the next class of lawmakers take power next year in Washington.
"In a scenario in which the political makeup inside the beltway is largely unchanged from last summer, we expect an intense battle," they said. "We would not be surprised if the most difficult long-term fiscal policy decisions are kicked down the road once again."
Failure to make progress on fiscal issues could have economic consequences, including possible credit rating downgrades.
"The longer-term fiscal issues of the US are still not likely to be dealt with in the near term," said BNP Paribas in a note.
"The good news is less near-term fiscal tightening and rancorous negotiation, allowing the recovery to continue to broaden and strengthen. The bad news is a steadily rising debt-to-GDP ratio."
First Published: November 6, 2012: 11:48 PM ET
Anda sedang membaca artikel tentang
Stocks gain, dollar slips on Obama win
Dengan url
http://ngopingeteh.blogspot.com/2012/11/stocks-gain-dollar-slips-on-obama-win.html
Anda boleh menyebar luaskannya atau mengcopy paste-nya
Stocks gain, dollar slips on Obama win
namun jangan lupa untuk meletakkan link
Stocks gain, dollar slips on Obama win
sebagai sumbernya
0 komentar:
Posting Komentar